Low reactivity: rigid systems, with little ability to anticipate or manage future challenges.

High Inclusivity: well-managed migration policies, strong collaboration and a sense of community that fosters integration.

Low Reactivity: social fragmentation, intergroup conflicts and limited approaches to managing migration flows.

Scenario A: Resilient synergy
(High Reactivity + High Inclusivity)

In 2035, Piedmont has become a model of innovation and inclusion. Training centers spread across the region, from cities to rural areas, offer advanced reskilling programs for both natives and migrants, supported by well-structured international partnerships. Migrant workers can access training opportunities in their home countries, allowing them to develop targeted skills ready for application in key sectors such as renewable energy and automation. Additionally, structured family reunification policies facilitate the relocation of migrant families, significantly reducing demographic imbalances.

Turin leads the transformation with centers of excellence in bioengineering and sustainability. Emerging professions, such as circular economy technicians and neighborhood energy facilitators, thrive thanks to a strong welfare system that supports lifelong learning and workforce inclusion. More women take on leadership roles in technological sectors, while startups led by young innovators emerge across the region, driving Piedmont to record levels of economic growth and social cohesion.

Piedmont thrives as a technological hub, but social inequality deepens. High-tech companies in Turin develop advanced automation solutions, recruiting elite talent from abroad and top universities, while migrant workers remain confined to precarious roles, such as warehouse operators in automated logistics systems or seasonal laborers.

In rural areas, innovation progresses much more slowly. Small businesses struggle to survive, facing tough competition from large industrial players. The welfare system is unbalanced, prioritizing incentives for automation over inclusion policies. Social tensions escalate, with frequent protests and an increasing divide between urban centers and peripheral areas.

Scenario C: Limited Cohesion
(Low Reactivity + High Inclusivity)

Despite its slow technological adaptation, Piedmont focuses on social integration to maintain economic stability. Migrants find employment in agricultural cooperatives or local public services, with widespread settlement programs in mountain and rural areas. However, the lack of a structured reskilling plan leaves advanced professional roles – such as green infrastructure designers and automation technicians – unfilled.

In Turin, the automotive sector struggles to transition to electric mobility, while the welfare system provides broad support but lacks a targeted focus on innovation. Women benefit from financial incentives in agriculture and commerce but remain significantly underrepresented in technological sectors. Economic growth is limited, and Piedmont faces challenges in competing with other regions.

Scenario D: Structural Disintegration
(Low Reactivity + Low Inclusivity)

In 2035, Piedmont is marked by a severe crisis: demographic decline and the inability to update professional skills have triggered social conflicts and high unemployment. With no opportunities available, migrant workers leave the region in search of better family and career prospects in other European countries; those who remain are confined to precarious jobs, often in the underground economy, such as seasonal laborers or workers in marginal service sectors.

In Turin, multiple factories shut down, contributing to the depopulation of entire neighborhoods and rural villages. Burdened by an increasingly weak demographic turnover, the welfare system struggles under the weight of the economic crisis, leading to widespread protests and social unrest. Gender equality regresses: women revert to traditional roles, and opportunities in innovative sectors dwindle significantly, pushing Piedmont toward a worrying economic decline.